Personal page: Bert de Vries

Prof. dr. B.J.M. de Vries Department of Science, Technology and Society Room: 929a, Van Unnikgebouw Utrecht University Heidelberglaan 2 3584 CH Utrecht The Netherlands Telephone: +31-30-253 36 84 Fax: +31-30-253 76 01 Email: B.J.M.devries@uu.nl

3. Recent publications

Short introduction

Dr. Bert J.M. de Vries (1948) has a background in Theoretical Chemistry. He was co-founder and staff of the Institute for Energy and Environment (IVEM) at the University of Groningen, where he received his Ph.D. on a dissertation about sustainable resource use. Since 1990 he is senior scientist at the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP) of the National Institute of Public Health and Environment (RIVM). Since january 2003 he is Professor of Global Change and Energy at the Copernicus Institute for one day a week. His research expertise is in resource and in particular energy analysis, modelling and policy; climate and global change modelling; and modelling for sustainable development. He co-edited several books, one on a Global Change model (TARGETS) and one on 10000 years of socio-ecological history (Mappae Mundi).

Major activities in the last 12 years:

• contributions to the Dutch National Environmental Outlooks and UNEP’s Global Environmental Outlook (GEO);
• co-project leader Global Dynamics and Sustainable Development group, finalizing the book ‘Perspectives on Global Change: The TARGETS approach’, with Prof. Dr. Ir. Jan Rotmans (1996);
• developer of the demography-economy-climate simulation game SusClime, with Prof. D. Meadows;
• (co-)project leader of the IMAGE-project and several IMAGE-related research projects on greenhouse-gas emissions scenarios, in particular energy modeling. The IMAGE-model is one of the few global integrated assessment models used for the construction of long-term scenarios and climate policy support; the project has so far resulted in 2 books and many publications;
• member of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) working group for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and co-author of the SRES;
• contributing lead author Chapter 2 of Third Assessment Report (TAR) Working Group III of the IPCC;
• project leader of the Mappae Mundi - Humans and their habitats in a socio-ecological perspective project;
• coordinator, as Professor of Global Change and Energy at the Copernicus Institute of Utrecht University, of the course Sustainbale Development – An Integrated Systems Perspective.

Recent publications:

Books

Rotmans, J. en B. de Vries (Eds.), Perspectives on global futures: the TARGETS approach, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1997

N. Nakicenovic, J. Alcamo, Gerald Davis, Bert de Vries et al. (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios – A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovenrmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge UK

H.J.M. de Vries and J. Goudsblom (Eds.) (2002). Mappae Mundi - Humans and their habitats in a socio-ecological perspective: Myths, maps, methods and models. Amsterdam University Press

Articles (2002-2007)

J. Alcamo, P. Mayerhofer, R. Guardans, T. van Harmelen, J. Onigkeit, M. Posch and B. de Vries (2002). An Integrated Assessment of Regional Air Pollution and Climate Change in Europe: Findings of the AIR-CLIM Project. Environmental Science and Policy 5(2002)4 pp. 257-272

Mayerhofer, P., B. de Vries, M. den Elzen, D. van Vuuren, J. Onigkeit, M. Posch, and R. Guardans (2002). Integrated scenarios of emissions, climate change and regional air pollution in Europe. Soil and Water Pollution 5(2002)4 pp. 273-306

Harmelen, T. van, J. Bakker, B. de Vries, D. van Vuuren, M. den Elzen, and P. Mayerhofer (2002). An analysis of the costs and benefits of joint policies to mitigate climate change and regional air pollution in Europe. Soil and Water Pollution 5(2002)4 pp. 349-365

B. Metz, M. Berk, M. den Elzen, B. de Vries and D. van Vuuren (2002). Towards an equitable global climate change regime: compatibility with Article 2 of the Climate Change Convention and the link with sustainable development. Climate Policy 2(2002)211-230.

Bart Strengers, Rik Leemans, Bas Eickhout, Bert de Vries en Lex Bouwman (2002). The land use projections in the IPCC SRES scenarios as simulated by the IMAGE 2.2 model. Geojournal, Special issue nav IGBP-symposium in A'dam, november 2001.

D. van Vuuren, Zhou Fengqi, Bert de Vries, Jiang Kejun, Cor Graveland and Li Yun (2003). Energy and emission scenarios for China in the 21st century – exploration of baseline development and mitigation options. Energy Policy 31(2003)369-387

D. van Vuuren, B. de Vries, B. Eickhout and T. Kram (2003). Responses to Technology and Taxes in a Simulated World. Energy Economics 26(2004)579-601
Monique Hoogwijk, Bert de Vries and Wim Turkenburg (2004). Assessment of the global and regional geographical, technical and economic potential of onshore wind-energy. Energy Economics 26(2004)889-919
Monique Hoogwijk, André Faaij, Bas Eickhout, Bert de Vries, Wim Turkenburg (2005). Potential of biomass energy out to 2100, for four IPCC SRES land-use scenarios. Biomass and Bioenergy 29(4)225-257

Bert de Vries, Monique Hoogwijk and Detlef van Vuuren (2007). Renewable energy sources: Their global potential for the first half of the 21st century at a global level: An integrated approach. Energy Policy 35(4)2590-2610

Bas van Ruijven, Detlef van Vuuren and Bert de Vries (2006). The potential role of hydrogen in energy systems with and without climate policy. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy (in press; probably 2007).

Monique Hoogwijk, Detlef van Vuuren, Bert de Vries, Wim Turkenburg (2006). Exploring the impact on cost and electricity production of high penetration levels of intermittent electricity in OECD Europe and the USA, results for wind energy. Energy (in press)

Contributions to books and published conference proceedings (2002-2007)

D. van Vuuren, B. Strengers and B. de Vries (2002). Long-term world metal use: application of industrial ecology in a system dynamics model. In: R. Ayres and L. Ayres (Eds.), A Handbook of Industrial Ecology, Edward Elger

Bert J.M. de Vries (2006). Scenarios: guidance for an uncertain and complex world? In: R. Costanza, L. Graumlich and W. Steffen (Eds.), Sustainability or Collapse? An Integrated History and Future Of People on Earth (IHOPE) - 96th Dahlem Workshop. MIT Press (Chapter 19, pp. 378-398)

Bert de Vries (2006). In search of sustainability: what can we learn from the past? In: A. Hornborg and C. Crumley (2006). The World System and The Earth System – Global Socioenvironmental Change and Sustainability Since the Neolithic. Left Coast Press Inc., California (Chapter 16, pp. 258-267)